Description

This analysis provides a forecast of QNT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 71.325628 79.539086 88.015072 97.393535 107.457831 117.912354 129.571442
2025-02-23 58.076604 70.049484 83.065109 98.170263 115.122245 133.467180 154.726243
2025-03-02 49.280022 62.916141 78.298204 96.743794 118.069770 141.765753 169.896163
2025-03-09 42.868959 57.612751 74.799720 96.001673 121.138127 149.684558 184.242661
2025-03-16 38.092571 53.642350 72.311260 95.920231 124.520848 157.605048 198.312558
2025-03-23 35.578901 52.142055 72.528119 98.842838 131.284600 169.368935 216.833837
2025-03-30 32.492383 49.595402 71.179702 99.611996 135.267332 177.720847 231.280303
2025-04-06 29.787868 47.292002 69.917713 100.294902 138.995054 185.673777 245.216913
2025-04-13 26.184632 43.463615 66.403709 97.853197 138.608424 188.449277 252.771355
2025-04-20 25.025561 42.922112 67.148680 100.861770 145.079175 199.677680 270.710293
2025-04-27 23.487100 41.704982 66.874656 102.445398 149.676659 208.568862 285.811667
2025-05-04 21.846813 40.203854 66.098772 103.267033 153.226375 216.122063 299.272679
2025-05-11 21.152497 40.112668 67.325171 106.885603 160.590997 228.728683 319.383302
2025-05-18 19.811323 38.930237 66.933430 108.248711 164.978687 237.591153 334.895590
2025-05-25 17.745650 36.431393 64.484053 106.610023 165.237510 241.058365 343.515142
2025-06-01 16.109629 34.487110 62.727714 105.837762 166.581060 245.879967 353.848318
2025-06-08 14.793710 32.963201 61.505420 105.745789 168.793995 251.809827 365.613731
2025-06-15 14.354327 32.907658 62.507831 108.877211 175.478640 263.688236 385.175533
2025-06-22 13.417851 31.899409 61.968339 109.700551 178.927516 271.278343 399.195954
2025-06-29 12.534181 30.910821 61.398765 110.431687 182.220788 278.661141 412.978707
2025-07-06 11.045389 28.661484 58.680583 107.817229 180.672482 279.455506 418.034476
2025-07-13 10.800108 28.765064 59.796295 111.038472 187.492031 291.626936 438.231695
2025-07-20 10.284412 28.295064 59.929833 112.733280 192.116286 300.837521 454.552296